Adewale T. Muritala | Adeniyi M. Ijaiya | Ahmed O. Adekunle | Ibraheem K. Nageri | A. Bolaji Yinus
pages: 1-13;
JEL classification: Q43, G10, N27, C23, O55;
Keywords: Oil Price, Stock Market Development, Panel Data, Africa;
Abstract: This study examines the dynamic impacts of oil prices on stock market development in four oil
exporting sub-Saharan African countries in the period of 1989-2015. The Arbitrage Pricing Theory
(APT) is used as the theoretical framework where stock market prices are hypothesized to be fully
reflective of all available information. Static panel data (Pooled OLS, panel Fixed Effect Model, panel
Random Effect Model) and dynamic panel model of Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) were
employed in the estimation. The estimation of the static panel model shows that oil prices, exchange
rates, gross domestic product, inflation and the corruption index have a positive and significant
impact on stock market development. However, there is a slight improvement from the estimation
of the GMM dynamic panel model which confirmed that oil prices, exchange rates, gross domestic
product, investment, inflation and the corruption index have a positive and significant impact on
stock market development. The study therefore recommends that investors in selected the SubSahara Africa (SSA) stock market need to be cognizant of the varying impacts of macroeconomic
indicators, particularly those that have been found to exert strong influence on stock returns like oil
prices, exchange rates, inflation and the corruption index.